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Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Poll Results Tie at 38.4% and 37.3%

A new polling report shows President Lula leading numerically with 38.4% of first-round votes while technically tying with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 37.3%. Both candidates project to receive 46% of votes in a potential second round.

Research firm Meio/Ideia released poll data on Thursday showing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead numerically, holding 38.4% of first-round vote intentions. He technically tied with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, who has 37.3%. A future second-round contest between the two candidates also resulted in a numerical tie, with both receiving 46% of intentions to vote. The survey notes that blank and invalid ballots summed to 2.5%, while 2.5% of respondents were unable to answer. In other potential scenarios, Lula would win against Renan Santos (Missão), Romeu Zema (Novo), and Augusto Cury (Avante) with 46% each time. However, the text does not specify if Flávio Bolsonaro was the primary opponent in all second-round projections beyond his direct tie.

Polling reportVoting intentionsLulaBolsonaroPresidential electionPolitical pollingMeio/ideiaDemocratic partyBrazil